Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.032689 0.035628 0.038577 0.041752 0.045068 0.048424 0.052070
2026-02-08 0.027848 0.032188 0.036678 0.041647 0.046972 0.052486 0.058608
2026-02-15 0.024982 0.030439 0.036237 0.042804 0.049989 0.057565 0.066115
2026-02-22 0.022537 0.028862 0.035752 0.043720 0.052592 0.062091 0.072954
2026-03-01 0.020247 0.027225 0.035009 0.044184 0.054567 0.065832 0.078862
2026-03-08 0.018191 0.025665 0.034195 0.044432 0.056187 0.069091 0.084168
2026-03-15 0.016851 0.024820 0.034101 0.045411 0.058556 0.073128 0.090290
2026-03-22 0.014759 0.022902 0.032614 0.044659 0.058852 0.074753 0.093646
2026-03-29 0.013426 0.021819 0.032040 0.044906 0.060238 0.077565 0.098296
2026-04-05 0.012429 0.021085 0.031829 0.045532 0.062023 0.080800 0.103398
2026-04-12 0.011412 0.020248 0.031431 0.045882 0.063443 0.083581 0.107958
2026-04-19 0.009692 0.018336 0.029578 0.044368 0.062572 0.083647 0.109345
2026-04-26 0.008504 0.017095 0.028554 0.043869 0.062932 0.085180 0.112478
2026-05-03 0.007555 0.016122 0.027829 0.043709 0.063678 0.087153 0.116117
2026-05-10 0.007164 0.015947 0.028149 0.044869 0.066037 0.091041 0.122001
2026-05-17 0.006724 0.015662 0.028299 0.045794 0.068096 0.094566 0.127461
2026-05-24 0.006173 0.015155 0.028114 0.046262 0.069573 0.097386 0.132084
2026-05-31 0.005601 0.014566 0.027782 0.046512 0.070759 0.099843 0.136271
2026-06-07 0.005297 0.014396 0.028026 0.047514 0.072884 0.103430 0.141798
2026-06-14 0.004526 0.013353 0.026969 0.046742 0.072736 0.104240 0.144001
2026-06-21 0.004092 0.012862 0.026688 0.046994 0.073876 0.106607 0.148057
2026-06-28 0.003790 0.012583 0.026703 0.047636 0.075506 0.109567 0.152818
2026-07-05 0.003445 0.012187 0.026523 0.047995 0.076761 0.112061 0.157014